Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Gustavo Heide: Total Sets O/U 2.5
YES Price
50.0%
NO Price
50.0%
Volume
$107.9K
Liquidity
$403.1K
Days to Expiry
4
Mar 16, 2026
Alpha Score
Insufficient Data
The Alpha Score measures the divergence between market price and smart money positioning on a 0–100 scale. Higher scores indicate larger gaps between what the market thinks and what informed traders are betting on.
Smart Money Consensus
Direction
Split
Strength
50.0%
Edge
--
Smart Wallets
4
Total smart money volume: $49.2K across 4 wallets. Direction: SPLIT.
Market Analysis
Smart money is divided on this market. 4 tracked wallets have placed $49.2K in total positions, but without a clear directional consensus. A split among informed traders often indicates genuine uncertainty — this market may be closer to a coin flip than the current prices suggest.
The market is relatively balanced with YES at 50.0% and NO at 50.0%. A YES resolution returns 2.00x while a NO resolution returns 2.00x. In balanced markets like this, the edge from smart money consensus becomes the primary decision driver rather than raw payout asymmetry.
With 4 days until expiry, this is a short-duration trade. The compressed timeline limits exposure to black swan events but also means the market is likely well-informed. Position conviction should be high at this stage.
Total trading volume of $107.9K puts this in the moderately active tier. There's enough price discovery for the odds to be somewhat reliable, but not so much that alpha opportunities are completely arbitraged away.
Trading Opportunity
Opportunity Score
41/72
Mild Opportunity
Annualized Return
--
If consensus is correct
Liquidity
$403.1K
Available depth
This market presents a moderate trading opportunity. The edge exists but is balanced against factors like liquidity constraints or lower conviction in the consensus. Position sizing should reflect the moderate confidence level.
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Open PolyFire BotFrequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Gustavo Heide: Total Sets O/U 2.5"?
As of the latest data, the market prices YES at 50.0% and NO at 50.0%. This means the market-implied probability of this outcome is 50.0%. The market has seen $107.9K in trading volume.
What does smart money think about "Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Gustavo Heide: Total Sets O/U 2.5"?
Smart money consensus is Split with 50% strength. 4 tracked wallets — traders with a history of profitable predictions — have taken positions totaling $49.2K. Their overall direction is SPLIT.
Is "Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Gustavo Heide: Total Sets O/U 2.5" a good trading opportunity?
This market has an opportunity score of 41 out of 72 and an alpha score of N/A out of 100. As with all prediction markets, past smart money performance does not guarantee future results.
When does this other markets market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 16, 2026. That's 4 days from the time of analysis.
How liquid is the "Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Gustavo Heide: Total Sets O/U 2.5" market?
The market has $403.1K in liquidity. Deep liquidity — easy to enter and exit positions Total volume traded is $107.9K, which provides additional context on market activity.
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