Prediction Market Analysis
5,249 markets analyzed with smart money consensus and alpha scoring. Find where the edge is.
Top 100 by Alpha Score
Sort:Alpha ScoreVolumeEdge
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
YES 34%NO 67%
A100Strong NO
$360KWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
YES 5%NO 95%
A100Strong NO
$30.7MWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
YES 33%NO 67%
A100Strong NO
$1.6MWill Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
YES 36%NO 65%
A100Strong NO
$56KNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
YES 38%NO 62%
A100Strong NO
$312KWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
YES 12%NO 89%
A100Strong NO
$3.1MWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
YES 52%NO 49%
A100Strong YES
$181KWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
YES 50%NO 50%
A100Strong YES
$482KTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
YES 71%NO 30%
A100Strong YES
$153KWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
YES 68%NO 32%
A100Strong YES
$323KKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
YES 40%NO 60%
A98Strong NO
$237KWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?
YES 21%NO 79%
A92Strong NO
$182KWill One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 76%NO 25%
A91Strong YES
$582KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
YES 13%NO 87%
A85Strong NO
$3.9MWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
YES 29%NO 71%
A85Strong NO
$68KWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
YES 36%NO 64%
A85Strong NO
$112KBNP Paribas Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Rinderknech
YES 50%NO 51%
A84Strong NO
$101KPakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
YES 28%NO 72%
A84Strong NO
$72KWill US or Israel strike Iran first?
YES 50%NO 50%
A83Lean YES
$6.4MWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
YES 5%NO 95%
A80Strong NO
$1.6MWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?
YES 50%NO 51%
A80Strong NO
$23KWill "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?
YES 41%NO 60%
A80Strong NO
$5KWill Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?
YES 42%NO 58%
A77Strong NO
$7KWill FC Juárez win on 2026-03-13?
YES 36%NO 65%
A76Strong NO
$8KWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
YES 5%NO 95%
A74Strong NO
$694KWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 88%NO 12%
A73Strong YES
$815KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
YES 28%NO 72%
A73Strong NO
$567KWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 47%NO 53%
A72Lean YES
$345KWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?
YES 38%NO 63%
A71Strong NO
$5KWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 55%NO 45%
A71Lean YES
$1.2MAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
YES 65%NO 36%
A70Strong YES
$51KWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
YES 40%NO 61%
A70Lean YES
$3.7MWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
YES 42%NO 58%
A69Strong NO
$156KWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 77%NO 23%
A69Strong YES
$19KWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 80%NO 20%
A68Strong YES
$46KPhoenix: Arthur Cazaux vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
YES 51%NO 50%
A68Strong YES
$89KWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
YES 17%NO 84%
A68Strong NO
$1.4MWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
YES 68%NO 33%
A66Strong YES
$79KWill Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES 28%NO 72%
A65Strong NO
$105KBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
YES 32%NO 69%
A65Strong NO
$2.7MWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
YES 26%NO 75%
A65Strong NO
$317KWill "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
YES 57%NO 43%
A63Strong YES
$9KCleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies
YES 50%NO 51%
A62Strong YES
$15KWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
YES 89%NO 12%
A62Strong YES
$1.9MWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
YES 35%NO 66%
A61Strong YES
$4.9MSet Handicap: Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)
YES 50%NO 51%
A60Strong NO
$15KMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
YES 19%NO 82%
A60Strong NO
$5.5MHouthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
YES 13%NO 88%
A59Strong NO
$566KSantiago: Franco Agamenone vs Guy Den Ouden
YES 50%NO 51%
A58Strong NO
$131KWill "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?
YES 41%NO 59%
A58Strong NO
$3KMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
YES 8%NO 92%
A58Strong NO
$56KWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
YES 2%NO 98%
A58Strong NO
$4.7MWill Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-03-14?
YES 21%NO 80%
A57Strong NO
$8KWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?
YES 56%NO 45%
A57Strong NO
$34KWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
YES 81%NO 20%
A57Strong YES
$1.9MWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
YES 49%NO 52%
A56Strong YES
$419KGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
YES 68%NO 32%
A55Strong YES
$115KWill UK strike Iran by March 31?
YES 7%NO 94%
A55Strong NO
$660KWill Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?
YES 45%NO 56%
A55Strong NO
$122KWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
YES 12%NO 88%
A54Lean NO
$1.5MWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
YES 7%NO 94%
A54Strong NO
$213KWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?
YES 55%NO 45%
A54Strong NO
$22KHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
YES 38%NO 63%
A54Lean NO
$203KWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
YES 18%NO 83%
A54Lean YES
$7.0MWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
YES 11%NO 89%
A54Strong NO
$199KWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 20%NO 80%
A54Strong YES
$2.0MWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
YES 15%NO 85%
A53Lean NO
$3.4MWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 76%NO 25%
A53Lean YES
$2.2MWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-14?
YES 60%NO 41%
A53Strong NO
$6KWill XRP reach $1.60 in March?
YES 42%NO 59%
A53Strong NO
$23KMavericks vs. Bucks
YES 42%NO 58%
A52Strong YES
$1.8MWill Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES 69%NO 32%
A52Strong YES
$23KWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
YES 23%NO 78%
A52Strong NO
$302KWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES 33%NO 68%
A52Strong NO
$612KIran leadership change by April 30?
YES 38%NO 63%
A52Lean NO
$310KUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
YES 37%NO 63%
A51Lean NO
$222KWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
YES 26%NO 75%
A51Lean YES
$2.9MWill Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
YES 22%NO 79%
A51Strong NO
$137KWill MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?
YES 54%NO 47%
A50Strong YES
$4KWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
YES 31%NO 70%
A50Strong YES
$342KWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
YES 76%NO 24%
A50Strong YES
$235KWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
YES 40%NO 61%
A50Strong NO
$56KWill the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs?
YES 29%NO 71%
A49Strong NO
$5KWill The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 25%NO 75%
A49Strong NO
$14KWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
YES 14%NO 86%
A49Strong NO
$41KWill "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars?
YES 41%NO 60%
A49Strong NO
$671Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
YES 29%NO 71%
A49Strong NO
$51KWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
YES 23%NO 77%
A49Strong NO
$21KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
YES 18%NO 83%
A48Strong NO
$297KWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
YES 58%NO 42%
A47Strong NO
$56KWill RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?
YES 41%NO 60%
A47Strong NO
$861Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
YES 39%NO 62%
A47Lean YES
$14KSAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?
YES 7%NO 94%
A47Strong NO
$88KWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
YES 85%NO 15%
A47Strong YES
$9KWill Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?
YES 41%NO 60%
A47Strong NO
$11KWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
YES 89%NO 12%
A46Strong YES
$24KWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
YES 62%NO 38%
A46Strong YES
$18KNuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5
YES 80%NO 21%
A46Strong YES
$53KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
YES 4%NO 96%
A46Strong NO
$4.1MWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
YES 47%NO 53%
A46Lean YES
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