Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?
YES Price
27.0%
NO Price
73.0%
Volume
$20.6K
Liquidity
$873
Days to Expiry
295
Jan 1, 2027
Alpha Score
Insufficient Data
The Alpha Score measures the divergence between market price and smart money positioning on a 0–100 scale. Higher scores indicate larger gaps between what the market thinks and what informed traders are betting on.
Smart Money Consensus
Direction
Split
Strength
50.0%
Edge
--
Smart Wallets
2
Total smart money volume: $986 across 2 wallets. Direction: SPLIT.
Market Analysis
Smart money is divided on this market. 2 tracked wallets have placed $986 in total positions, but without a clear directional consensus. A split among informed traders often indicates genuine uncertainty — this market may be closer to a coin flip than the current prices suggest.
The market is relatively balanced with YES at 27.0% and NO at 73.0%. A YES resolution returns 3.70x while a NO resolution returns 1.37x. In balanced markets like this, the edge from smart money consensus becomes the primary decision driver rather than raw payout asymmetry.
This is a longer-dated market with 295 days to resolution. While the annualized return potential can look attractive, extended timelines come with significant uncertainty. Smart money positions taken this far out reflect high-conviction views, but a lot can change.
At $20.6K in volume, this market has seen limited trading activity. Lower-volume markets can offer larger edges but come with execution risk — wide spreads and thin order books may make it difficult to enter or exit at desired prices.
Trading Opportunity
Opportunity Score
--/72
Unrated
Annualized Return
--
If consensus is correct
Liquidity
$873
Available depth
Current metrics suggest limited trading opportunity in this market. The edge may be too small, the timeline too long, or the liquidity too thin to warrant a high-conviction position. Monitor for changes in smart money positioning.
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Open PolyFire BotFrequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?"?
As of the latest data, the market prices YES at 27.0% and NO at 73.0%. This means the market-implied probability of this outcome is 27.0%. The market has seen $20.6K in trading volume.
What does smart money think about "Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?"?
Smart money consensus is Split with 50% strength. 2 tracked wallets — traders with a history of profitable predictions — have taken positions totaling $986. Their overall direction is SPLIT.
Is "Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?" a good trading opportunity?
This market has an opportunity score of N/A out of 72 and an alpha score of N/A out of 100. As with all prediction markets, past smart money performance does not guarantee future results.
When does this crypto & web3 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. That's 295 days from the time of analysis.
How liquid is the "Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?" market?
The market has $873 in liquidity. Very thin liquidity — trade with caution, significant slippage risk Total volume traded is $20.6K, which provides additional context on market activity.
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