National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria - Completed match?
YES Price
89.5%
NO Price
10.5%
Volume
$976
Liquidity
$31
Days to Expiry
8
Mar 20, 2026
Alpha Score
Insufficient Data
The Alpha Score measures the divergence between market price and smart money positioning on a 0–100 scale. Higher scores indicate larger gaps between what the market thinks and what informed traders are betting on.
Smart Money Consensus
Direction
Split
Strength
50.0%
Edge
--
Smart Wallets
2
Total smart money volume: $476 across 2 wallets. Direction: SPLIT.
Market Analysis
Smart money is divided on this market. 2 tracked wallets have placed $476 in total positions, but without a clear directional consensus. A split among informed traders often indicates genuine uncertainty — this market may be closer to a coin flip than the current prices suggest.
With YES priced at 89.5%, this is a high-probability market with limited upside. A YES win returns only 12% on capital. The real opportunity may be on the NO side if you believe the market is overestimating the likelihood of this outcome. At 10.5% for NO, a correct contrarian bet returns 9.5x.
With 8 days until expiry, this is a short-duration trade. The compressed timeline limits exposure to black swan events but also means the market is likely well-informed. Position conviction should be high at this stage.
At $976 in volume, this market has seen limited trading activity. Lower-volume markets can offer larger edges but come with execution risk — wide spreads and thin order books may make it difficult to enter or exit at desired prices.
Trading Opportunity
Opportunity Score
24/72
Low Opportunity
Annualized Return
--
If consensus is correct
Liquidity
$31
Available depth
Current metrics suggest limited trading opportunity in this market. The edge may be too small, the timeline too long, or the liquidity too thin to warrant a high-conviction position. Monitor for changes in smart money positioning.
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Open PolyFire BotFrequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria - Completed match?"?
As of the latest data, the market prices YES at 89.5% and NO at 10.5%. This means the market-implied probability of this outcome is 89.5%. The market has seen $976 in trading volume.
What does smart money think about "National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria - Completed match?"?
Smart money consensus is Split with 50% strength. 2 tracked wallets — traders with a history of profitable predictions — have taken positions totaling $476. Their overall direction is SPLIT.
Is "National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria - Completed match?" a good trading opportunity?
This market has an opportunity score of 24 out of 72 and an alpha score of N/A out of 100. As with all prediction markets, past smart money performance does not guarantee future results.
When does this other markets market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 20, 2026. That's 8 days from the time of analysis.
How liquid is the "National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria - Completed match?" market?
The market has $31 in liquidity. Very thin liquidity — trade with caution, significant slippage risk Total volume traded is $976, which provides additional context on market activity.
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