Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
17.5%
NO Price
82.5%
Volume
$83.3K
Liquidity
$21.7K
Days to Expiry
294
Dec 31, 2026
Alpha Score
Minimal Alpha
The Alpha Score measures the divergence between market price and smart money positioning on a 0–100 scale. Higher scores indicate larger gaps between what the market thinks and what informed traders are betting on.
Smart Money Consensus
Direction
Strong NO
Strength
83.3%
Edge
17.5%
Smart Wallets
6
Total smart money volume: $7.7K across 6 wallets. Direction: STRONG NO.
Market Analysis
Smart money is firmly positioned against this outcome. 6 tracked wallets have deployed $7.7K in total, with the overwhelming majority betting NO. When sophisticated traders cluster this heavily on one side, it typically reflects deeper analysis or information advantages that haven't been fully absorbed by the market.
The consensus edge is 17.5% — a substantial gap between the current market price and where smart money analysis suggests the true probability lies. With the market pricing YES at 17.5% and the Strong NO consensus, there's a meaningful divergence that could represent a trading opportunity. Edges this large don't persist indefinitely; they either correct as the market catches up, or the smart money thesis proves wrong.
At 17.5% for YES, this is a high-payout longshot. A YES resolution would return roughly 5.7x on the investment. The asymmetry is attractive — you don't need to be right often on these to profit, but the base rate of sub-20% events resolving YES is low. Consider position sizing accordingly.
This is a longer-dated market with 294 days to resolution. While the annualized return potential can look attractive, extended timelines come with significant uncertainty. Smart money positions taken this far out reflect high-conviction views, but a lot can change.
At $83.3K in volume, this market has seen limited trading activity. Lower-volume markets can offer larger edges but come with execution risk — wide spreads and thin order books may make it difficult to enter or exit at desired prices.
Trading Opportunity
Opportunity Score
17/72
Low Opportunity
Annualized Return
22%
If consensus is correct
Liquidity
$21.7K
Available depth
Current metrics suggest limited trading opportunity in this market. The edge may be too small, the timeline too long, or the liquidity too thin to warrant a high-conviction position. Monitor for changes in smart money positioning.
Trade This Market on PolyFire
Copy smart money trades automatically. One-click execution via Telegram.
Open PolyFire BotFrequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest data, the market prices YES at 17.5% and NO at 82.5%. This means the market-implied probability of this outcome is 17.5%. The market has seen $83.3K in trading volume.
What does smart money think about "Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?"?
Smart money consensus is Strong NO with 83% strength. 6 tracked wallets — traders with a history of profitable predictions — have taken positions totaling $7.7K. Their overall direction is STRONG NO.
Is "Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?" a good trading opportunity?
This market has an opportunity score of 17 out of 72 and an alpha score of 17 out of 100. The consensus edge — the gap between market price and smart money valuation — is 17.5%. The annualized return potential is 22%. As with all prediction markets, past smart money performance does not guarantee future results.
When does this crypto & web3 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. That's 294 days from the time of analysis.
How liquid is the "Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?" market?
The market has $21.7K in liquidity. Thin liquidity — may experience slippage on larger orders Total volume traded is $83.3K, which provides additional context on market activity.
Get Alpha Delivered
Weekly smart money moves, top-scoring markets, and data-driven predictions. No noise.
Coming soon.