Will Maggie Hassan vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
YES Price
22.5%
NO Price
77.5%
Volume
--
Liquidity
$1.9K
Days to Expiry
18
Mar 31, 2026
Alpha Score
Minimal Alpha
The Alpha Score measures the divergence between market price and smart money positioning on a 0–100 scale. Higher scores indicate larger gaps between what the market thinks and what informed traders are betting on.
Smart Money Consensus
Direction
Strong YES
Strength
100.0%
Edge
77.5%
Smart Wallets
1
Total smart money volume: $50 across 1 wallet. Direction: STRONG YES.
Market Analysis
Smart money is decisively bullish on this market. 1 tracked wallets with a history of profitable trades have taken positions totaling $50, overwhelmingly favoring YES. This level of conviction from informed traders is notable — when this many smart wallets align on one side, it often signals information or analysis the broader market hasn't fully priced in.
The consensus edge is 77.5% — a substantial gap between the current market price and where smart money analysis suggests the true probability lies. With the market pricing YES at 22.5% and the Strong YES consensus, there's a meaningful divergence that could represent a trading opportunity. Edges this large don't persist indefinitely; they either correct as the market catches up, or the smart money thesis proves wrong.
The market is relatively balanced with YES at 22.5% and NO at 77.5%. A YES resolution returns 4.44x while a NO resolution returns 1.29x. In balanced markets like this, the edge from smart money consensus becomes the primary decision driver rather than raw payout asymmetry.
18 days remain until this market resolves. This medium-term horizon gives time for the smart money thesis to play out, but also introduces event risk. Markets this far from expiry can see significant price swings as new information emerges.
Trading Opportunity
Opportunity Score
51/72
Moderate Opportunity
Annualized Return
1000%
If consensus is correct
Liquidity
$1.9K
Available depth
This market scores in the top tier for trading opportunity. The combination of smart money edge, market liquidity, and time to expiry makes it worth close attention. The annualized return of 1000% is attractive if the smart money consensus proves correct.
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Open PolyFire BotFrequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will Maggie Hassan vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?"?
As of the latest data, the market prices YES at 22.5% and NO at 77.5%. This means the market-implied probability of this outcome is 22.5%.
What does smart money think about "Will Maggie Hassan vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?"?
Smart money consensus is Strong YES with 100% strength. 1 tracked wallets — traders with a history of profitable predictions — have taken positions totaling $50. Their overall direction is STRONG YES.
Is "Will Maggie Hassan vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?" a good trading opportunity?
This market has an opportunity score of 51 out of 72 and an alpha score of 1 out of 100. The consensus edge — the gap between market price and smart money valuation — is 77.5%. The annualized return potential is 1000%. As with all prediction markets, past smart money performance does not guarantee future results.
When does this us politics market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2026. That's 18 days from the time of analysis.
How liquid is the "Will Maggie Hassan vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?" market?
The market has $1.9K in liquidity. Very thin liquidity — trade with caution, significant slippage risk
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