Entertainment Prediction Markets
Entertainment industry prediction markets covering awards, box office, streaming, and media events. Smart money analysis on entertainment outcomes.
Markets
125
Avg Alpha Score
11.1
Total Volume
$9.3M
With Smart Money Data
125
125 markets sorted by Alpha Score
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 55%/NO 45%
Alpha 71Lean YES
$1.2MLoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B
YES 77%/NO 23%
Alpha 45Strong YES
$59KWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 28Strong YES
$1.1MLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
YES 88%/NO 13%
Alpha 26Strong YES
$20KCall of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
YES 25%/NO 76%
Alpha 25Strong NO
$5KWill "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?
YES 37%/NO 63%
Alpha 25Strong YES
$7KWill "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 7.5m?
YES 70%/NO 31%
Alpha 25Strong YES
$2KWill Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 65%/NO 35%
Alpha 23Lean YES
$108KValorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs
YES 46%/NO 55%
Alpha 22Strong YES
$48KWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 22Lean YES
$741KWill "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
YES 60%/NO 40%
Alpha 22Lean NO
$33KWill Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 19Strong YES
$85KCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
YES 43%/NO 57%
Alpha 18Strong YES
$184KWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YES 76%/NO 25%
Alpha 18Strong YES
$65KCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
YES 74%/NO 26%
Alpha 17Strong NO
$19KWill Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 54%/NO 47%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$62KWill I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 16Lean YES
$90KWill Keya Kellum get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?
YES 38%/NO 62%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$2KWill "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 16Lean YES
$9KLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
YES 69%/NO 32%
Alpha 16Lean NO
$422KWill Hamnet win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$48KWill "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
YES 77%/NO 24%
Alpha 15Lean NO
$26KCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
YES 71%/NO 30%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$4KWill Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$20KWill "Chile" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 76%/NO 24%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$41Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
YES 39%/NO 62%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$8KWill "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$3KLoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A
YES 82%/NO 19%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$58KWill "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 32m?
YES 46%/NO 54%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$566Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 11Lean YES
$63KWill "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$5KWill "Fake Clone" or "Fake Cloning" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 60%/NO 41%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$28Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
YES 46%/NO 55%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$43KWill "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$961Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$2KAnother GTA VI trailer released by March 31?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$12KValorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs
YES 51%/NO 50%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$14KWill "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$15KWill JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$93KWill "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$3KWill "Clutch" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 62%/NO 39%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$33Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?
YES 46%/NO 54%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$692Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$2KLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
YES 75%/NO 25%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$241Will "Hunter's Fury" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 73%/NO 27%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$82Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
YES 50%/NO 51%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$42KWill "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?
YES 37%/NO 64%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$28KWill GTA 6 cost $100+?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$17KWill Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
YES 46%/NO 54%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$93KWill "Cosmic Divide" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 70%/NO 30%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$22Will OpTic Texas win DreamHack Major 2?
YES 34%/NO 66%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$12KWill "Prowler" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 78%/NO 23%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$16Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Group B
YES 57%/NO 43%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$4KWill "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?
YES 11%/NO 90%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$2KWill "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$316Will "Ult" or "Ultimate" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 93%/NO 7%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$2KWill "Economy" or "Eco" be said 10+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 83%/NO 17%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$35Will "Pearl" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 92%/NO 8%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$465Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?
YES 26%/NO 75%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$2KWill "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$846Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$49KWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$77KHenry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$33KWill "Stinger" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 82%/NO 18%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$19Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$20KWill "Spike" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 95%/NO 5%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$777Will Los Angeles Thieves win DreamHack Major 2?
YES 25%/NO 76%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$228Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
YES 34%/NO 67%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$71KWill Paris Gentle Mates win DreamHack Major 2?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$176Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
YES 22%/NO 79%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$32KWill It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$72KWill Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$35KWill FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$423KWill KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$39KWill Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$307KAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Lean YES
$52KWill Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$28KWill Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$81KWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of March?
YES 26%/NO 75%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 1Lean NO
--Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 32%/NO 69%
Alpha 1Split
$1.3MWill Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Cloud9 New York finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?
YES 41%/NO 59%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will FaZe Vegas win DreamHack Major 2?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--New Half-Life game by June 30?
YES 40%/NO 61%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 1Strong YES
$445KWill Netflix dip to $70 in March?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 91%/NO 10%
No ScoreSplit
$123KWill Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$13KRainbow Six Siege: InControl vs Arial Arise - Game 1 Winner
YES 46%/NO 55%
No ScoreSplit
$356Will "Tour De Force" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 57%/NO 43%
No ScoreSplit
$88Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $100?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill Toronto KOI win DreamHack Major 2?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$8KStarCraft II: MaxPax vs Rogue - Map 2 Winner
YES 71%/NO 29%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
YES 83%/NO 17%
No ScoreSplit
$7KStarCraft II: MaxPax vs Rogue - Map 1 Winner
YES 71%/NO 29%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?
YES 28%/NO 72%
No ScoreSplit
$9KDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
YES 33%/NO 68%
No ScoreSplit
$13KWill "IGL" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 66%/NO 34%
No ScoreSplit
$45Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
YES 51%/NO 49%
No ScoreSplit
$94KCall of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Miami Heretics - Game 4 Winner
YES 44%/NO 56%
No ScoreSplit
--StarCraft II: ByuN vs SHIN - Map 2 Winner
YES 50%/NO 50%
No ScoreSplit
--Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$14KWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 91%/NO 10%
No ScoreSplit
$132KWill Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 88%/NO 12%
No ScoreSplit
$204KGTA 6 launch postponed again?
YES 31%/NO 69%
No ScoreSplit
$152KHonor of Kings: TOP Esports Armor vs Qing Jiu Club - Game 4 Winner
YES 55%/NO 46%
No ScoreSplit
--Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?
YES 26%/NO 75%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 93%/NO 8%
No ScoreSplit
$125KCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
YES 71%/NO 30%
No ScoreSplit
$51KWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
YES 73%/NO 27%
No ScoreSplit
$89KGame Handicap: Qing Jiu Club (-1.5) vs TOP Esports Armor (+1.5)
YES 64%/NO 37%
No ScoreSplit
--Rainbow Six Siege: See You in Valhalla vs LATAM LAST HOPE - Game 2 Winner
YES 52%/NO 49%
No ScoreSplit
$3KNo one announced as next James Bond?
YES 49%/NO 52%
No ScoreSplit
$215KStarCraft II: ByuN vs SHIN - Map 1 Winner
YES 50%/NO 50%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $120 end of March?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
--Rainbow Six Siege: InControl vs Arial Arise - Game 2 Winner
YES 51%/NO 50%
No ScoreSplit
$1KWill Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Netflix reach $105 in March?
YES 21%/NO 79%
No ScoreSplit
$18KWill "Massacre" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 36%/NO 64%
No ScoreSplit
--Entertainment Markets FAQ
How many entertainment prediction markets are available?
There are currently 125 entertainment prediction markets being tracked and analyzed on PolyPulse. Each market includes smart money consensus data, alpha scoring, and opportunity assessment.
What is the average alpha score for entertainment markets?
The average alpha score across entertainment markets is 11.1 out of 100. Markets in this category tend to be more efficiently priced, with smart money and the broader market more closely aligned.
How does smart money analysis work for entertainment markets?
PolyPulse tracks thousands of wallets with a demonstrated history of profitable prediction market trades. For entertainment markets, we analyze their position direction (YES/NO), size, and timing to generate a consensus signal. When smart money heavily favors one side, it often indicates an edge the broader market hasn't priced in.
What is the best entertainment market to trade right now?
Markets are ranked by alpha score, which measures the gap between smart money consensus and current market pricing. The top-ranked entertainment markets on this page have the highest alpha scores, indicating the largest potential edge. However, always consider liquidity, time to expiry, and your own analysis before trading.
How often is entertainment market data updated?
Market data including prices, volume, smart money positions, and alpha scores are refreshed regularly to reflect the latest on-chain activity. Smart money consensus can shift as new positions are taken, so check back frequently for updated analysis.
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